The Gulf Coast region may experience a chance of rain and unsettled weather this weekend, according to the latest report from the National Weather Service’s Mobile office. A mid/upper closed low pressure area situated over the northeast Gulf is expected to slowly drift southeastward. Simultaneously, a surface low pressure system in the northeast Gulf will initially move in a north-northwest direction before stalling approximately 150 miles south of Orange Beach, Alabama, early this afternoon. The system will then make a southward jog.
While the National Hurricane Center has assigned a medium (50%) chance of tropical development to this system over the next two days, it is important to refer to the NHC’s weather outlook at hurricanes.gov for detailed information on potential tracks and tropical forecasts.
Irrespective of tropical development, the system is likely to bring increased moisture to the Niceville area. Today, isolated to scattered showers and storms are anticipated along and south of Highway 84. Some showers and storms may persist near the coast in the early evening before dissipating throughout the near term. While a strong storm or two cannot be ruled out, severe weather is not expected due to modest instability and minimal shear values, as indicated by forecast guidance.
Furthermore, beachgoers and coastal residents should be aware of a high risk of rip currents today and tonight due to elevated easterly winds and swell. It is crucial to remain vigilant and heed the advice of beach officials and beach flags for safety.
In terms of temperatures, mostly cloudy to cloudy skies will keep high temperatures today in the mid-80s. However, increasing sunshine on Friday will allow temperatures to rise into the upper 80s to lower 90s. Overnight lows will range from the mid to upper 60s inland, while coastal areas can expect lower 70s.
While the chance of rain persists, it is advised to stay informed about any weather updates from the National Weather Service and follow any precautionary measures issued by local authorities.